Revision as of 16:57, 18 June 2014 by ***** (***** | *****)
The aim of this study, which has been conducted on behalf of Deutsche Gesellschaft für internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH, is to provide a legal pre-feasibility analysis of the development of legal instruments for use by foreign private operators in the renewable energy and, more particularly, the solar energy sector in Tunisia. Our brief was to examine opportunities for promoting the production of electricity from renewable energy sources within a managed legal and financial context, taking as the main avenue of development a number of legal structures and models, such as leasing and energy service companies (ESCO), which already exist in Tunisia. More generally, the study shares the approach already adopted in the Mediterranean Solar Plan (MSP), which aims to promote the use of energy efficiency technologies and renewable energy sources in the countries of the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean (SEMED), to improve the energy situation in the region and to prepare for and promote the export of electricity produced from renewable energy sources. These aims are shared by the Tunisian Solar Plan (TSP), which was created to coordinate the launch of concrete energy consumption rationalisation programmes in Tunisia.
Tunisia is currently undergoing a period of political, economic and energy transition which is crucial for its future. The challenges are great. The National Conference on Energy Transition held in 2013 highlighted the importance of the energy efficiency promotion measures supported by the ANME as “having generated tangible energy savings” . They also underlined the urgent need to accelerate the transition process and to limit and contain Tunisia’s energy deficit.
However, this acceleration is dependent on funds, which are difficult to mobilise.
Difficult firstly because Tunisia needs significant finance to set up a new regulatory and institutional framework and because it is, like many countries, a victim of the current economic crisis, which is limiting access to credit.
Difficult, too, because against this backdrop the financial system and banks in particular are seeking to reduce their leverage and long-term assets, particularly in light of the targets set by the Basel III Agreement adopted in 2010, which came into force in 2013 .
This situation has a direct impact on the financing of renewable energy development projects, 70 to 80% of which involve medium- or long-term borrowing (on average 15 to 20 years).
It also means that any assessment of possible avenues of developing the foreign private investment in the renewable energies sector must necessarily involve a systematic search for the least expensive option.
These avenues of strategic development can be divided into two main categories, which are nevertheless closely interlinked. Firstly, those dependent on the institutional and regulatory framework in Tunisia and, secondly, those which are more or less directly dependent on a system of financial aid.
In considering avenues of development dependent on Tunisia’s institutional and regulatory framework, it is important to consider two principles:
- Legislative security: this principle requires a stable and predictable institutional and regulatory framework. All investors need stability for project development and financing. At project level, development lead times (the time required to obtain the necessary authorisations and permissions) can vary from one to three years depending on the complexity and size of the project and a project’s success will depend on a great extent on how far the developer can be sure of a stable regulatory framework. In the case of Tunisia and based on the overview given above, it is clear that there is an urgent need to clarify the terms of access to the private sector for investors through the draft Investment Code. This legislation could prove an excellent means of accelerating foreign private project investment in particular and make an immediate impact on financing options without placing a burden on public finance.
- Transparency: the ANME sums up this principle as the “truth about the price of electricity”. This issue relates to the need to have an understanding of exactly how the price of electricity is calculated and its actual cost. For example, the ANME notes that “direct and indirect energy subsidies exploded in 2012 to reach TND 5.3 billion”, a situation which cannot last forever and which will have an immediate impact on the cost of electricity given the growing demand for energy.
As regards avenues of development requiring financial aid, and subject to the reservations set out above in relation to the draft law on the “production of electricity from renewable energies”, this study has shown the benefits of a constant effort to promote the following schemes:
- autoproduction: this appears to be the most appropriate scheme in terms of Tunisia’s energy balance. In addition, used on a wide scale it would resolve the issue of power cuts during periods of peak demand and relieve the State of the burden of compensating large consumers affected by power cuts. A financial simulation should be carried out to check the scheme’s adaptability under current conditions.
- IPPs: similar to public/private partnerships, if this programme were liberalised (through the Investment Code in particular) and made more systematic, it would be possible for private operators to construct sizeable power plants;
- energy performance: the results achieved using the tools available to meet these targets are encouraging but further work is required to facilitate their development by extending their scope of application to include investors;
- leasing: the possibility of bank guarantees for leasing agreements forms part of the current discussions around the possibility of creating a dedicated guarantee fund, which would provide reassurance for all parties to the leasing agreement and reduce the risks for banks. In the longer term it might also be possible to consider grouping together similar projects to open up better financing opportunities (programme bonds);
In more general terms, the financing of this type of project through specialist banks at very low rates as shown by the experience of the Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau in Germany, which gives 1% loans for renewable energy development projects and public/private risk sharing (or the Green Investment Bank in the United Kingdom);
- tax incentives: the Investments Incentive Code still in force makes provision for a range of tax incentives (exoneration from customs duties, etc.), which should be included in the Investment Code currently under discussion.