Difference between revisions of "Micro Perspectives for Decentralized Energy Supply - Conference 2013"
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| − | ===== '''Comprehensive Country Ranking for Renewable Energy Based Mini-Grids Providing Rural Off-Grid Electrification | + | |
| + | ===== '''Comprehensive Country Ranking for Renewable Energy Based Mini-Grids Providing Rural Off-Grid Electrification ''by C. Breyer – Reiner Lemoine Institut''''' ===== | ||
====== '''Motivation''' ====== | ====== '''Motivation''' ====== | ||
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====== '''Methodology for the country ranking''' ====== | ====== '''Methodology for the country ranking''' ====== | ||
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**Not available on a global scale | **Not available on a global scale | ||
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====== '''Weighting and scoring of each criterion''' ====== | ====== '''Weighting and scoring of each criterion''' ====== | ||
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The weighting and scoring of each criterion was proposed by the authors as follows: | The weighting and scoring of each criterion was proposed by the authors as follows: | ||
| − | '''A: Market potential [40 %] | + | '''A: Market potential [40 %]''' |
| − | • 30 % - Electrification rate [World Bank, IEA, UNDP] | + | • 30 % - Electrification rate [World Bank, IEA, UNDP] |
• 50 % - Rural population without access to electricity [calculated] | • 50 % - Rural population without access to electricity [calculated] | ||
| − | • 20 % - Pump price for diesel fuel [World Bank] <br/> | + | • 20 % - Pump price for diesel fuel [World Bank]<br/> |
'''B: Political and financial environment [60 %]''' | '''B: Political and financial environment [60 %]''' | ||
| − | • 15 % - Political stability [World Bank] | + | • 15 % - Political stability [World Bank] |
• 20 % - Corruption perceptions index [Transparency Int] | • 20 % - Corruption perceptions index [Transparency Int] | ||
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• 15 % - Inflation [World Bank] | • 15 % - Inflation [World Bank] | ||
| − | • 50 % - Ease of doing business index [World Bank] | + | • 50 % - Ease of doing business index [World Bank]<br/>====== |
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====== '''Results of the country ranking considering the proposed criterion''' ====== | ====== '''Results of the country ranking considering the proposed criterion''' ====== | ||
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====== '''Conclusions''' ====== | ====== '''Conclusions''' ====== | ||
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*Good political and financial environment combined with high electrification needs are to be found especially in South and East Africa. | *Good political and financial environment combined with high electrification needs are to be found especially in South and East Africa. | ||
*Large market potential and poor political and financial environment are often found coupled and vice versa. | *Large market potential and poor political and financial environment are often found coupled and vice versa. | ||
| − | <br/> ====== | + | |
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====== '''Q&A Session''' ====== | ====== '''Q&A Session''' ====== | ||
Revision as of 17:15, 4 March 2013
Overview
The International Conference on “Micro Perspectives for Decentralized Energy Supply” (MES) was established as an international forum to discuss the micro perspective of the technical, economic, social, and environmental aspects of microenergy systems.
The MES conference brings together leading academics from the social sciences, economics, natural sciences, and engineering, as well as practitioners (e.g. project developers and implementers, entrepreneurs).
Microenergy Systems provide solutions for single households or micro enterprises (e.g. solar home systems, improved cooking stoves, biogas plants), as well as technologies for several households or communities. For a long time, they have been regarded as transitional solutions towards centralized energy supply in developing countries, or as a negligible niche market in developed countries. In recent years, there have been growing expectations that decentralized energy systems will play an important role in shifting energy policy, as well as in contributing to poverty reduction and improved health, education, and overall quality of life. The MES conference will explore the technical, social, and economic factors and context conditions that can enable MES to meet these expectations.
Program Documentation
Tuesday, February 26
Mini Grids as New Market Opportunities: Experiences from Science and Private Sector
In cooperation with GIZ, Practitioner Workshop
| Time: 9:00am - 5:00pm |
| Short description (MES Homepage) |
| More Information and full agenda |
| Power Point |
| Summary, more information (energypedia article) |
Financing Decentralized Energy Supply for Low-Income Markets
In cooperation with GIZ, Workshop
| Time: 9:00am - 3:00pm |
| Short description |
| Power Point |
| Summary |
Wednesday, February 27th
Enabling energy supply for low-income markets through mini-grid solutions
In cooperation with Reiner Lemoine Institute, Mini-grid Workshop
| Time: 9:00am - 5:00pm |
| Short description, Agenda |
| Power Point |
| Summary |
PEP-Information Exchange “PV-Hybrid on the Philippines”
In cooperation with GIZ, Workshop
| Time: 10:00am - 5:00pm |
| Short description |
| Power Point |
| Summary |
Facilitating Energy Access: the Practitioner Perspective
In cooperation with the Energy Access Practitioner Network of United Nations Foundation, Practitioner Workshop
| Time: 1:30pm - 5:00pm |
| Short description |
| Power Point |
| Summary |
Conference Kick-of: Exhibition and Opening Session
Exhibition: Teaching Technology Tools – Building a global energy training laboratory.
| Time: 5:00pm |
| Short description |
Opening Session: Sustainable Energy Access for all. Chances and Challenges from the Microperspective.
| Time: 6:00pm |
| Short description |
Thursday, February 28th
MES Opening Session
| Time: 9:00am - 11:00am |
|
9:00 am 9:15 am 9:45 am 10:15 am 10:30 am 11:00 am |
Block I: Parallel Research Presentation Sessions
| Time: 11:15am - 1:00pm |
Microenergy-Systems and Agriculture
Potential Analysis of Microenergy Systems
MES in Infrastructure Planning – The Challenge of Decentralization
The Potential of Mini Grids and Critical Factors
Overview
Universal energy access remains a challenge despite being essential in enabling human development. There are 1.3 billion people without electricity worldwide (International Energy Agency [IEA], 2011) while electricity is the essential basis for the improvement of elementary needs, like light, communication, education, health and safety. Further, electricity has been repeatedly linked to poverty reduction.
Over 80% of the 1.3 billion lacking electricity live in rural areas and therefore, self-sustaining island systems (mini-grids) are mostly the only possibility to bring electricity and to grow local economy. In consequence of rising fuel prices, renewable energies have become more interesting to bridge the energy gap.
Comprehensive Country Ranking for Renewable Energy Based Mini-Grids Providing Rural Off-Grid Electrification by C. Breyer – Reiner Lemoine Institut
Motivation
Mini-grids offer ideal conditions for a grid independent electricity supply. When they are renewable energy based, become a key element for rural electrification. Nevertheless there is not only a necessity of sustainable business models for energy supplying of hundreds of millions of people, but also a comparison of all countries need to be done in order to identify the most important players on this field.
Methodology for the country ranking
The methodology for the study was aimed to identify the hugest market potential and the best political and financial environments. Due to this the next exclusion criteria and their respective weighting was considered:
- Electrification rates over 95 % and less than 200,000 people in rural areas without electricity (98 countries excluded)
- High political instability (considering the travel warning issued by the German Ministry of Foreign Affairs – April 2012 – and the worldwide governance indicator < 5%).
- Very low diesel prices
- Criteria not included:
- No quantification possible
- Not available on a global scale
Weighting and scoring of each criterion
The weighting and scoring of each criterion was proposed by the authors as follows:
A: Market potential [40 %]
• 30 % - Electrification rate [World Bank, IEA, UNDP]
• 50 % - Rural population without access to electricity [calculated]
• 20 % - Pump price for diesel fuel [World Bank]
B: Political and financial environment [60 %]
• 15 % - Political stability [World Bank]
• 20 % - Corruption perceptions index [Transparency Int]
• 15 % - Inflation [World Bank]
• 50 % - Ease of doing business index [World Bank]
======
Results of the country ranking considering the proposed criterion
|
Rank |
Country |
Electrification rate [%] |
Rural population without access to electricity |
Worldwide governance indicators: political stability [%] |
Pump price for diesel fuel [USD/liter] |
GDP per capita [USD] |
|
1 |
Rwanda |
5 |
8.5 mio |
41.5 |
1.62 |
530 |
|
2 |
Zambia |
19 |
8.0 mio |
63.7 |
1.52 |
1,250 |
|
3 |
South Africa |
75 |
8.6 mio |
44.3 |
1.14 |
7,280 |
|
4 |
Botswana |
45 |
0.7 mio |
78.3 |
0.97 |
7,400 |
|
5 |
Namibia |
34 |
1.2 mio |
71.7 |
1.09 |
5,330 |
|
6 |
Ghana |
61 |
9.1 mio |
47.6 |
0.83 |
1,320 |
|
7 |
Kenya |
16 |
29.9 mio |
13.7 |
1.27 |
790 |
|
8 |
Uganda |
9 |
27.8 mio |
15.6 |
1.11 |
510 |
|
9 |
United Republic of Tanzania |
14 |
32.3 mio |
45.8 |
1.19 |
520 |
|
10 |
Peru |
86 |
5.9 mio |
20.3 |
1.10 |
5,400 |
Conclusions
The study reveals that:
- Good political and financial environment combined with high electrification needs are to be found especially in South and East Africa.
- Large market potential and poor political and financial environment are often found coupled and vice versa.
======
Q&A Session
- The specific criteria for minigrids have to checked at the end locally
- How was calculated the rural population???
- Taking into account the number of rural electrification per country (%) and number of poverty (%)
- Why some countries which do not have a clearly huge electrification rate were excluded?? (E.g. Bangladesh)
- Combination of market, political environment and the weighting and scoring
- Did you make a sensitive analysis for each variable??
- o Yes, it was done.
- Cost of finance – ability of finance (Setting a company up, infrastructure) How was it taken into account??
- Not considered because it was so extensive the investigation
- All the collected data is standardized and may not reflect exactly the situation in each country
The Role of Energy in Development Processes
Block II: Parallel Research Presentation Sessions
| Time: 2:15pm - 4:00pm |
Transition to Renewable Energies through Mini Grids
Users Perspective
Storage and Simulation
Is there a Role for Microfinance in Decentralized Energy Supply?
Networking & Market Place
Coffee Break (Room no. H1035, Main building)
| Time: 4:00pm - 5:00pm |
UN Practitioner Network
Energypedia
MicroEnergy International
MES Public Evening Session
| Time: 5:15pm - 6:00pm |
| 5:15 pm Welcome Note: Prof. Dr. Martina Schäfer, TU Berlin
5:20 pm Public Session: Klaus Töpfer, Rethinking Science: Energy Research & Sustainable Development |
Evening Panel Discussion
| Time: 7:30pm |
|
Rethinking Remoteness – Access to Energy in Rural Areas and Megacities Panelists:
Moderation: Sebastian Groh, Postgraduate Program Microenergy Systems, TU Berlin |
Friday, March 1st
Block III: Parallel Research Presentation Sessions
| Time: 9:00am - 11:00am |
Micro Gasifiers
E-PSS: Turning good ideas into sustainable energy solutions
Hybrid Systems
Block IV: Parallel Research Presentation Sessions
| Time: 11:30am - 1:30pm |
The Impacts of Electricity
Teaching Technology Tools: Building a global energy laboratory
Business Models for Solar-Based Rural Electrification
In cooperation with SBI
Facing the Operational Challenges of Minigrids
Block V: Parallel Research Presentation Sessions
| Time: 3:00pm - 5:00pm |
Energy SME Financing
In coopeartion with SBI
Knowledge Management and Transfer for Microenergy Systems – Crossing Borders Worldwide
In cooperation with energypedia
The Complexity of Cleaner Cookstoves: Challenges ranging from Improving Livelihoods to Managing Carbon Credits
Swarm Electricity
Closing Session
| Time: 5:30pm - 7:30pm |
|
Rethinking Power: Designing an Energy System for Peace and Sustainability 5:30 pm 6:00 pm Panelists:
Moderation: Noara Kebir, Managing Director at MicroEnergy International 7:30 pm |
