Publication - Transport for under two degrees: A synthesis of qualitative expert interviews on transforming mobility by mid-century

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Title

Transport for under two degrees: A synthesis of qualitative expert interviews on transforming mobility by mid-century

Publisher

Federal Foreign Office, Agora Verkehrswende, Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH, World Economic Forum

Author

Federal Foreign Office, Agora Verkehrswende, Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH, World Economic Forum

Published in

December 2019

Abstract

With the Paris Agreement, the international community has committed itself to limiting the rise in the global average temperature to well below 2 °C. However, to achieve this goal, comprehensive action in all sectors is necessary. With one quarter of the global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, the transport sector is a key area for further decarbonisation efforts.

The global foresight project “T4<2° – Transport for under two degrees” aims at predicting how the transport sector will evolve until mid-century and seeks to provide the necessary policy solutions for a successful transport transformation. Thereby, the project particularly focuses on the international framework conditions and the role of foreign policy for a global mobility transformation.

The project is jointly implemented by GIZ, Agora Verkehrswende and the World Economic Forum on behalf of the German Federal Foreign Office. As the global transport transformation is multidimensional, the project will shed light on a variety of important aspects, such as (digital) technologies, supply with energy and raw materials, infrastructure needs, financing and economic implications, required policy action, the role of international relations, as well as questions of acceptance and equity.

In the first phase of the project, more than 60 international experts have been interviewed on the future of mobility and what action has to be taken to ensure a successful transformation. This interim report sums up the most prominent insights from the interviews. As a next step, a two-round Delphi survey will be designed based on the interviews. The survey will be directed at a wide range of stakeholders and experts from the transport and related sectors. The findings of the Delphi survey will be translated into recommendations for action, addressed to decision-makers in transport and foreign policy.

For further information, please visit: https://www.t4under2.org

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