Difference between revisions of "Grid Extension vs Off grid, Island / Isolated System"
***** (***** | *****) |
***** (***** | *****) |
||
Line 49: | Line 49: | ||
=== <span>ROT (1) for grid extension</span> === | === <span>ROT (1) for grid extension</span> === | ||
− | + | ==== ROT 1 ==== | |
+ | |||
+ | '''Questions:''' Is grid extension a viable option? | ||
<br> | <br> | ||
− | #'''<span><span>Estimate the total number of potential connections </span><u><span>(N)</span></u></span>'''<span><span> in a rural community. Due to time span between planning and execution one may take into consideration the grid extension within the <span>next 2-3 years. The topography is also crucial for this decision. Normally households are the dominating customer group, however normally not all of them connect immediately (micro-finance & diversification of marketing strategies to be considered). Be aware of difference in costumer profiles. Industrial consumers have higher demand and different load profiles.</span></span></span> | + | #'''<span><span>Estimate the total number of potential connections </span><u><span>(N)</span></u></span>'''<span><span> in a rural community. Due to time span between planning and execution one may take into consideration the grid extension within the <span>next 2-3 years. The topography is also crucial for this decision. Normally households are the dominating customer group, however normally not all of them connect immediately (micro-finance & diversification of marketing strategies to be considered). Be aware of difference in costumer profiles. Industrial consumers have higher demand and different load profiles.</span></span></span> |
− | #<span><span>Find the </span>'''<span>average distance <u>(D)</u> from the rural community to the centralized grid</span>'''</span> | + | #<span><span>Find the </span>'''<span>average distance <u>(D)</u> from the rural community to the centralized grid</span>'''</span><span /> |
#<span><span>Calculate the </span>'''<span>number of connections <u>(N)</u> per distance = N/D</span>'''</span> | #<span><span>Calculate the </span>'''<span>number of connections <u>(N)</u> per distance = N/D</span>'''</span> | ||
− | <div> </div><div> </div><div><span>Case 1 =<span> N/D < 2 connections/km => Grid extension is likely not to be viable</span></span></div><div> </div><div><span>Case 2 =<span> N/D > 30 connections/km => Grid extension is likely to be a viable alternative (Compared to off-grid systems)</span></span></div><div> </div><div><span>Cases between N/D < 2 to N/D > 28 are undefined.</span></div><div> </div><div><span>As the Rule of Thumb has a very large open, not defined, range it gives no solutions for many cases. Pls consider individual situation.</span></div><div></div><div>< | + | <div> </div><div> </div><div><span>Case 1 =<span> N/D < 2 connections/km => Grid extension is likely not to be viable</span></span></div><div> </div><div><span>Case 2 =<span> N/D > 30 connections/km => Grid extension is likely to be a viable alternative (Compared to off-grid systems)</span></span></div><div> </div><div><span>Cases between N/D < 2 to N/D > 28 are undefined.</span></div><div> </div><div><span>As the Rule of Thumb has a very large open, not defined, range it gives no solutions for many cases. Pls consider individual situation.</span></div><div></div><div> </div><div><span>Example:</span></div><div><span>Village 1) N = 500 HH / 11KM = 45,45 Conn/Km = Grid extension would be most viable</span></div><div><span>Village 2) N = 1000 HH / 100 km = 10 Conn/ Km = ? ? ? ?</span></div><div> </div><div>'''<span>Other important factors</span>'''<span>: Topography (such as mountain area ), national grid extension plan, different consumer / demand profiles etc. </span></div><div> |
+ | ==== <span>ROT 1: model calculation</span> ==== | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===== <span>Village Data for model calculation</span> ===== | ||
+ | |||
+ | * | ||
+ | ===== <span>Site name: HHPS Hopefully Having Power Soon</span> ===== | ||
+ | |||
+ | *<span>Households: 1,000</span> | ||
+ | *<span>Institutions: 50</span> | ||
+ | *<span>Small Businesses (e.g. shops): 100</span> | ||
+ | *<span>Small industrial users: 50</span> | ||
+ | *<span>Total Connections: 1,200</span> | ||
+ | *<span>Population: 5,000</span> | ||
+ | |||
+ | |||
+ | |||
+ | *<span>Case 1) Distance from the Grid = 100 km</span> | ||
+ | *<span>Case 2) Distance from the Grid = 15 km</span> | ||
+ | |||
+ | <span><span> </span></span> | ||
+ | |||
+ | *<span>Connections within 600 m radius of the centre = 800</span> | ||
+ | </div><div><div><span /></div><div><span>Calculate the number of connections (N) per distance = N/D:</span></div><div><span>1.200 Connections / 100 Km (Case 1)<span> = 12</span></span></div><div> </div><div><span>Assumption: cost of medium voltage line (ca. 60 kV) = 10,000 U$/km</span></div><div><span>Resulting connection costs per costumer would be: 100 km x 10,000 US = 1,000,000 U$ or 833 U$/connection. </span></div><div> </div><div><span>A PV-diesel-wind-hybrid (available for less than 1,000,000 U$) could be an alternative.</span></div><div><span> </span></div><div><span>A reliable PV island system with approx. 100 kWp or a production of 300-400 KWh/d should feasible with less than 600,000 Euro. </span></div><div> </div><div>'''<span>HHPS is a site where an island system is the most viable option, given that no other villages are close to the transmission line and ceteris paribus demand.</span>'''</div></div><div> </div><div> </div><div> </div> | ||
=== ROT (2) for single-phase vs three-phase config. === | === ROT (2) for single-phase vs three-phase config. === | ||
Revision as of 11:27, 20 August 2010
Main decision criteria
- Distance to the national / centralised grid (incl. capacity of grid)
- Demand
- Population density and number of households
- Long-term demand (in kwh and terms of energy services) and peak load (in kw)
- Number and (expected) demand (growth) of productive end uses / industrial users
- Levelized costs of energy production (to be consideres: long term marginal costs) in centralised grid and extension costs.
- Levelized costs of energy production in isolated system
- The selection of socially and environmentally appropriate technologies
- ...
Acknowledgement
Important considarations
Grid vs off-grid vs evolutionary approach
By the time the population has outgrown a particular service delivery level, incomes are likely to have risen and population densities increased, resulting in entirely different economic conditions under which other temporary solutions might now become feasible (such as added PV modules to the battery system at home, or mini grids connecting most village households). A grid-connected city person may find it difficult to imagine, but even the simplest first step up from kerosene lighting, a battery-based modern CFL or LED lamp, would immediately improve the quality of life for rural households. There are numerous options to improve living conditions without having grid electricity, and all have fairly low investment costs. Indeed, a range of individual alternatives should be promoted to improve the quality of rural life across the board and create wealth, to commensurate with households’ desire and ability to pay for such services. Although these services constitute a major step up from prevailing living conditions, several subsequent steps will still be required to reach comparable conditions in the future as in urban areas.
Development of criteria / rules of thumb
Basic definitions
Grid-connected (on-grid) power supply / provision is defined as electricity supply which is fed by centrally generated electricity, and uses a network of (high,) medium and low voltage distribution grid system that exceeds one village. Grid extension is therefore a network expansion from the national power transmission system to new areas and communities. Whereas decentralized power provision is understood as power generation in the village, such as solar home system or a mini-grid powered by a diesel generator / hydro power plant. Grid-connected (on-grid) electrification comprises the connection of entire villages through network extension (grid extension), so the construction of new transmission lines (transmission lines), as well as network densification measures. The latter are divided into two categories: (1) Grid densification by transformation, if villages which are located in close proximity to an existing transmission line will be connected, change of voltage level. (2) Densification within an existing low-voltage distribution grid, connection of additional households.
Decision tree
Cost-effectiveness criteria typically include distance to the existing grid, population size, affordability and productive potential. A consequence of using cost-effectiveness criteria is that they are likely to promote the connection of communities with less poor people. A cost-effectiveness approach can be justified due to its emphasis on financial sustainability.
One example of using cost-effectiveness criteria is how the Pakistan Rural Electrification Project selected communities. They selected communities with I/K ratios > 24, with I being the population size and K the distance to the grid.
Additional examples are:
Rural Electrification in Benin....{Julian Frede / Francois Carme, pls add here}
Rural Electrification in Madagaskar....{Sören David, pls add here}
Rules of thumb (ROT)
The suggested rules of thumb (ROT) for community selection are based on cost-effectiveness criteria. The source of these rules is NORAD 2009, however they have been adapted based on experience during the implementation of Energising Development and discussions with the above mentioned experts.
ROT (1) for grid extension
ROT 1
Questions: Is grid extension a viable option?
- Estimate the total number of potential connections (N) in a rural community. Due to time span between planning and execution one may take into consideration the grid extension within the next 2-3 years. The topography is also crucial for this decision. Normally households are the dominating customer group, however normally not all of them connect immediately (micro-finance & diversification of marketing strategies to be considered). Be aware of difference in costumer profiles. Industrial consumers have higher demand and different load profiles.
- Find the average distance (D) from the rural community to the centralized grid<span />
- Calculate the number of connections (N) per distance = N/D
ROT 1: model calculation
Village Data for model calculation
Site name: HHPS Hopefully Having Power Soon
- Households: 1,000
- Institutions: 50
- Small Businesses (e.g. shops): 100
- Small industrial users: 50
- Total Connections: 1,200
- Population: 5,000
- Case 1) Distance from the Grid = 100 km
- Case 2) Distance from the Grid = 15 km
- Connections within 600 m radius of the centre = 800
ROT (2) for single-phase vs three-phase config.
ROT (3) for isolated grids
ROT (4) for grid extension vs off-grid systems
Sample calculation
output ROT 1
output ROT 2
output ROT 3
output ROT 4
Further reading
- Best Practice Guide For Planning”, NORPLAN & NORAD, October 2009
- Assessing technology options for rural electrification. Guidelines for project development. Draft report. Sweco, Oslo, 2009
- ...