Energy Access Figures

Electricity Access

Lack of access to electricity worldwide (absolute numbers)

IIASA GEA 2012[i]	2010 - 1.4 billion
IEA WEO 2013[ii]	2011 – 1.257 billion	2030 – 969 million
IEA WEO 2012[iii]	2010 - 1.267 billion	2030 - 991 million
IEA WEO 2011[iv]	2009 - 1.317 billion	2030 – 1,036 million
Practical Action 2012[v]	2009/2010 - 1.5 billion	2030 - 900 million
UN GA 2010[vi]	2009/2010 – 1.5 billion
WHO 2009[vii]	2009 - 1.5 billion
AGECC 2010[viii]	2009 - About 1.5 billion

Lack of access to electricity regional (absolute numbers)

	Sub-Saharan Africa		Developing Asia		Latin America
IEA WEO 2013	2011 599 mio	2030 645 mio	2011 615 mio	2030 324 mio	2011 24 mio	2030 0 mio
IEA WEO 2012	2010 589 mio	2030 655 mio	2010 628 mio	2030 334 mio	2010 29 mio	2030 0 mio
IEA WEO 2011	2009 586 mio	2030 645 mio	2009 675 mio	2030 376 mio	2009 31 mio	2030 10 mio

Access to Electricity worldwide (% of population)

	Present			Future
UN SE4All 2013[i]	Total 2010 83%	Rural 2010 70%	Urban 2010 95%
PPHP 2013[ii]	Total 2010 78%			Total 2035 89%	Total 2060 95%
IEA WEO 2012	Total 2010 81%			Total 2030 88%
UN Energy	Total ??? 72%

Access to Electricity regional (% of population)

		Africa		Asia		Latin America
UN SE4All 2013	Total	Sub-Saharan 32% North Africa 99%		Caucasus a Central 100% East Asia 98% Oceania 25% South Asia 75% South East Asia 88% West Asia 91%		Latin America and Caribbean 95%
	Rural	Sub-Saharan 14% North Africa 99%		Caucasus a Central 99% East Asia 97% Oceania 14% South Asia 67% South East Asia 80% West Asia 78%		Latin America and Caribbean 84%
	Urban	Sub-Saharan 63% North Africa 100%		Caucasus a Central 100% East Asia 98% Oceania 65% South Asia 94% South East Asia 97% West Asia 97%		Latin America and Caribbean 98%
		Sub-Saharan Africa		Developing Asia		Latin America
IEA WEO 2012		2010 32%	2030 52%	2010 82%	2030 92%	2010 94%	2030 100%
IEA WEO 2011		2009 31%	2030 51%	2009 81%	2030 91%	2009 93%	2030 98%

Access to clean cooking energy

People relying on traditional biomass worldwide (absolute numbers)

IEA WEO 2013	2011 – 2.642 billion1	2030 – 2.524 billion
IEA WEO 2012	2010 - 2.588 billion	2030 - 2.595 billion
IEA WEO 2011	2009 – 2.662 billion	2030 – 2.715 billion
IIASA GEA 2012	2009 about 2.7 billion	(Based on IEA 2010)
Practical Action 2012	2010 – nearly 3 billion	2030 – 3 billion
GACC[iii]	2009 (solid fuels) about 3 billion
WHO 2011[iv]	2009 (solid fuels) about 3 billion
UN Energy[v]	2013 (solid fuels) about 3 billion
AGECC 2010	2009 (solid fuels) appr. 3 billion
UN GA 2010	2009/2010 - 3 billion

¹ Increased number of people relying on traditional use of biomass (from WEO 2012 to WEO 2013) is caused by population number upward revision for India.

People relying on traditional biomass regional (absolute numbers)

	Sub-Saharan Africa		Developing Asia		Latin America
IEA WEO 2013	2011 696 mio	2030 881 mio	2011 1,869 mio	2030 1,582 mio	2011 68 mio	2030 53 mio
IEA WEO 2012	2010 696 mio	2030 883 mio	2010 1,814 mio	2030 1,640 mio	2010 65 mio	2030 62 mio
IEA WEO 2011	2009 653 mio	2030 918 mio	2009 1,921 mio	2030 1,769 mio	2009 85 mio	2030 79 mio

Access to non-solid-biofuels worldwide (% of population)

UN SE4All 2013

Total 2010 59%

Rural 2010 35%

Urban 2010 84%

Household Use of modern Forms of Energy (% of population)

PPHP 2013

Total 2010 57%

Total 2035 78%

Total 2060 88%

Cooking with traditional biomass worldwide (% of population)

IEA WEO 2012

Total 2010 49%

Total 2030 39%

Access to Non-solid fuels regional (% of population)

		Africa	Asia	Latin America
UN SE4All 2013	Total	Sub-Saharan 19% North Africa 100%	Caucasus a Central 85% East Asia 55% Oceania 31% South Asia 40% South East Asia 48% West Asia 95%	Latin America and Caribbean 86%
	Rural	Sub-Saharan 6% North Africa 99%	Caucasus a Central 74% East Asia 35% Oceania 21% South Asia 23% South East Asia 27% West Asia 86%	Latin America and Caribbean 57%
	Urban	Sub-Saharan 42% North Africa 100%	Caucasus a Central 98% East Asia 76% Oceania 73% South Asia 78% South East Asia 77% West Asia 99%	Latin America and Caribbean 94%

Cooking with traditional biomass (% of population)

	Sub-Saharan Africa		Developing Asia		Latin America
IEA WEO 2012	2010 81%	2030 65%	2010 51%	2030 39%	2010 14%	2030 11%
IEA WEO 2011	2009 78%	2030 67%	2009 54%	2030 41%	2009 19%	2030 14%

Necessary Investment for Universal Access to Modern Energy Services

Additional average annual investment needed for total/universal energy access

	Annually	comments
UN SE4All 2013	33.9 billion USD
IEA WEO 2011	from 2010 34 billion USD (in total 1 trillion USD (296 billion USD in new policies) 640 billion USD)
AGECC 2010	35-40 billion USD
Pachauri et al 2012	65 – 86 billion USD	(only grid–access and LPG-like cooking)

Electricity

Additional average annual investment needed for total universal electricity access regional, in billion USD

	Global	Africa	Asia	Latin America
UN SE4All 2013	30.1 bn USD	SSA 19.1 bn USD	EA & Oce 0.4 bn USD SA 9.2 bn USD SEA 1.3 bn USD
IEA WEO 2011	30.5 bn USD	SSA 18.5 bn USD	Dev. A. 11.5 bn USD only India 6.4 bn USD	0.3 bn USD
Ruijven et al. 2012[vi]	From 2010 - 2030 238 – 400 bn USD	SSA 6.1 – 10.2 bn USD	Asia 1.4 – 2.5 bn USD	LA 4.3 – 7.1 bn USD

SSA: Sub-Saharan Africa, Dev. A.: Developing Asia, EA: East Asia, Oce: Oceania, SA: Southern Asia, SEA: South-Eastern Asia

Electricity Access for All -'Proposed share of necessary annual investment needed per technology'

IEA WEO 2011

In Total On-grid electrification Mini-grid electrification Off-grid electrification

30.5 billion USD/year 11 billion USD/year 12 billion USD/year 7 billion USD/year

Cooking Energy

Additional average annual investment needed to achieve universal access to clean cooking facilities, regional, in billion USD

	Global	Africa	Asia	Latin America
UN SE4All 2013	3.8 bn USD	SSA 1.1 bn USD ME & NAf 0.01 bn USD	EA & Oce 0.9 bn USD SA 1.2 bn USD SEA 0.4 bn USD	0.2 bn USD
IEA WEO 2011	3.5 bn USD	SSA 1.1 bn USD	Dev. A. 2.3 bn USD only India 0.8 bn USD only China 0.8 bn USD	0.2 bn USD

SSA: Sub-Saharan Africa, Dev. A.: Developing Asia, EA: East Asia, Oce: Oceania, SA: Southern Asia, SEA: South-Eastern Asia, ME: Middle East, NAf: North Africa

Clean Cooking Facilities for All - Proposed share of necessary annual investment needed per technology

IEA WEO 2011

In Total LPG Cookstoves Biomass systems Biomass Cookstoves

3.5 billion USD/year 0.9 billion USD/year 1.8 billion USD/year 0.8 billion USD/year

Sources

[i] Source: UN SE4All Global Tracking Report, Data based on IEA 2012, the data is based on National household surveys; WB global electrification database, 2012 ; WHO household energy database, 2012

[ii] Source: PPhP (2014), Patterns of Potential Human Progress, Volume 4, Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures University Denver

[iii] Source: GACC, Issue – Environmnet, [online] http://www.cleancookstoves.org/our-work/the-issues/ last accessed 11/11/2013

[iv] Source: WHO, Indoor air pollution and health, September 2011 [online] http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs292/en/

[v] http://www.un-energy.org/cluster/energy_access

[vi] Source: B.J. Ruijven, J. Schers, D.P. van Vuuren: Model-based scenarios for rural electrification in devloping countries, (2012), Energy 38 386-397

[i] Source: IIASA GEA 2012: Global Energy Assessment- Towards a Sustainable Future, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

[ii] Source: OECD/IEA (2013): World Energy Outlook 2013

[iii] Source: OECD/IEA (2012): World Energy Outlook 2012 http://www.iea.org/papers/2011/weo2011_energy_for_all.pdf

[iv] Source: OECD/IEA (2011): Energy for All – Financing Access for the Poor. Special early excerpt of the World Energy Outlook 2011. Updated estimates of the OECD/IEA 2010

http://www.iea.org/papers/2011/weo2011_energy_for_all.pdf

[v] Source: Practical Action (2012): Poor People’s Energy Outlook: http://practicalaction.org/ppeo2012-report

[vi] Source: UN General Assembly - International Year for Sustainable Energy for All, 11 November 2010, Sixty-fifth session, Second Committee

[vii] Source: WHO – The Energy Access Situation in developing countries. A Review Focusing on the Least Developed Countries and Sub-Saharan Africa (November 2009)

[viii] AGECC Report 2010: Energy for a sustainable future: http://www.un-energy.org/publications/558-agecc-report-energy-for-a-sustainable-future