Difference between revisions of "Solar Home System Market Size in Mozambique"
***** (***** | *****) (Created page with "=== Solar Home System Market Size === As of 2019, only 29.6% of Mozambicans had access to the national grid electricity. This number is even lower for the rural population whe...") |
***** (***** | *****) m |
||
Line 21: | Line 21: | ||
The table below provides an overview of the demographics and electrification rate in the 11 Mozambican provinces (based on 2017 census data)<ref>USAID, “Mozambique Route-to-Market Tool.”</ref> | The table below provides an overview of the demographics and electrification rate in the 11 Mozambican provinces (based on 2017 census data)<ref>USAID, “Mozambique Route-to-Market Tool.”</ref> | ||
+ | {| class="wikitable" | ||
+ | |'''Province''' | ||
+ | |'''Population''' | ||
+ | |'''Households[[Solar Home System Market Size in Mozambique#%20ftn1|'''[1]''']]''' | ||
+ | |'''Electrified population (%)''' | ||
+ | |'''Monthly energy expenditure (USD)''' | ||
+ | |'''Poverty rate (%)''' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |'''Maputo City''' | ||
+ | |1.120.869 | ||
+ | |224.175 | ||
+ | |100 | ||
+ | |15,9 | ||
+ | |11,8 | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |'''Maputo''' | ||
+ | |1.968.889 | ||
+ | |393.774 | ||
+ | |78 | ||
+ | |15,9 | ||
+ | |11,8 | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |'''Sofala''' | ||
+ | |2.259.248 | ||
+ | |451.842 | ||
+ | |34 | ||
+ | |5,4 | ||
+ | |49,6 | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |'''Gaza''' | ||
+ | |1.422.458 | ||
+ | |284.517 | ||
+ | |30 | ||
+ | |6,3 | ||
+ | |43,6 | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |'''Manica''' | ||
+ | |1.945.982 | ||
+ | |389.182 | ||
+ | |25 | ||
+ | |6,7 | ||
+ | |37,2 | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |'''Nampula''' | ||
+ | |5.758.902 | ||
+ | |1.151.800 | ||
+ | |23 | ||
+ | |4,1 | ||
+ | |64,8 | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |'''Cabo Delgado''' | ||
+ | |2.320.261 | ||
+ | |464.066 | ||
+ | |22 | ||
+ | |7,1 | ||
+ | |50 | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |'''Niassa''' | ||
+ | |1.810.803 | ||
+ | |362.161 | ||
+ | |19 | ||
+ | |5,8 | ||
+ | |66,7 | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |'''Inhambane''' | ||
+ | |1.488.685 | ||
+ | |297.745 | ||
+ | |15 | ||
+ | |6,6 | ||
+ | |34,5 | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |'''Tete''' | ||
+ | |2.648.949 | ||
+ | |529.790 | ||
+ | |14 | ||
+ | |7,1 | ||
+ | |41,9 | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |'''Zambezia''' | ||
+ | |5.164.726 | ||
+ | |1.032.961 | ||
+ | |10 | ||
+ | |4,1 | ||
+ | |61,8 | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | The table below shows the distribution of potential SHS households across the different provinces; and challenges and opportunities for reaching these households (based on the 2019 SAEP consumer survey)*<ref name=":0" />. | ||
+ | {| class="wikitable" | ||
+ | |'''Provinces''' | ||
+ | |'''Potential SHS market (households)''' | ||
+ | |'''Challenges''' | ||
+ | |'''Opportunities''' | ||
+ | |'''Recommendations''' | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | rowspan="3" |'''Nampula''' | ||
+ | | rowspan="3" |300,000 | ||
+ | | rowspan="3" |Humanitarian crisis has spread from Cabo Delgado to some part of Nampula<ref>UNPF, “Mozambique Fact Sheet for the Northern Province Humanitarian Crisis: Cabo Delgado - Nampula - Niass.”</ref>. | ||
+ | |Highest awareness for SHS products | ||
+ | |Opportunity to expand SHS products in deeper areas of this province | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |Highest ownership of SHS | ||
+ | |Private sector can collaborate with humanitarian agencies to meet the energy needs of the displaced population in temporary settlements. | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |Good perception of solar among households | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | rowspan="2" |'''Cabo Delgado''' | ||
+ | | rowspan="2" |130,000 | ||
+ | |Humanitarian crisis | ||
+ | |Highest ownership of SHS | ||
+ | |Stay updated on the humanitarian crisis and how it develops. | ||
+ | |||
+ | Explore safer districts in Cabo Delgado for SHS distribution | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |No service providers in the immediate vicinity of the households | ||
+ | |Highest access to mobile money access | ||
+ | |Increasing the number of sales agents in this province | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | rowspan="2" |'''Manica''' | ||
+ | | rowspan="2" |101,000 | ||
+ | |No service providers in the immediate vicinity of the households | ||
+ | |Wealthiest households are in this province | ||
+ | |Increasing the number of sales agents in this province | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |Low ownerships of SHS | ||
+ | |Willingness to pay for SHS is high | ||
+ | |Awareness and marketing activities needed | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | rowspan="2" |'''Sofala''' | ||
+ | | rowspan="2" |80,000 | ||
+ | |Low affordability of the households | ||
+ | |Highest awareness of SHS products | ||
+ | |Offer lower Tier SHS that match the household’s ability to pay | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |Subsidies from donor to target these regions are helpful | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | rowspan="3" |'''Tete''' | ||
+ | | rowspan="3" |78,000 | ||
+ | |High risk of default | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |Offer lower Tier SHS | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |Low affordability of the households | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |Subsidies from donor to target these regions are helpful | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |Low access to mobile money | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |Explore other informal micro financing[[Solar Home System Market Size in Mozambique#%20ftn2|[2]]] | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | rowspan="3" |'''Zambezia''' | ||
+ | | rowspan="3" |76,000 | ||
+ | |High risk of default | ||
+ | |High income stability | ||
+ | |Offer lower Tier SHS | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |Low ownership of SHS | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |Subsidies from donor to target these regions are helpful | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |Poorest households | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | rowspan="2" |'''Gaza''' | ||
+ | | rowspan="2" |38,000 | ||
+ | |Low affordability of households | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |Offer lower Tier SHS | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |Subsidies from donor to target these regions are helpful | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | rowspan="2" |'''Maputo''' | ||
+ | | rowspan="2" |17,000 | ||
+ | |Perception of solar is least positive | ||
+ | |Highest ownership | ||
+ | |Awareness and marketing campaign needed | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |Highest access to mobile money | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | | rowspan="3" |'''Inhambane''' | ||
+ | | rowspan="3" |13,000 | ||
+ | |High risk of default | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |Low affordability | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |Offer lower range of SHS and subsidies from donor programmes to target these regions are helpful | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |Low access to mobile money | ||
+ | | | ||
+ | |Explore other informal micro financing options | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | === Reference === | ||
+ | <references /> | ||
+ | [[Category:Mozambique]] | ||
+ | [[Category:Solar Home Systems (SHS)]] | ||
+ | [[Category:Renewable Energy]] |
Revision as of 07:51, 27 September 2021
Solar Home System Market Size
As of 2019, only 29.6% of Mozambicans had access to the national grid electricity. This number is even lower for the rural population where only 4% have access to grid electricity, although 63% of the total population are living in rural areas[1]. Thus, the Mozambican energy sector presents an enormous opportunity for off-grid electrification using SHS and mini-grids Read more about the energy access situation in Mozambique here. A study in 2018 calculated the potential for SHS market to be 4.4 million households and this mainly covers the market for SHS with single light and phone charger. A detailed breakdown is shown in the table below[2]
Systems | Potential market size (households) |
SHS with single light and phone charger | 4.4 million |
SHS with multiple lights, phone charger and radio | 3.5 million |
SHS with multiple light, phone charger, radio and TV | 645,000 |
SHS with multiple lights, phones charger, radio, TV and refrigerators | 276,000 |
A recent USAID study from 2020 estimates that 824,000 households (i.e. one in every five households) could afford a SHS without any additional subsidy. These households spend on average USD 7.5 per month on lighting, which is also the average monthly instalment for Tier 1 SHS[3]. The three largest potential markets are in Nampula, Cabo Delgado and Manica provinces. The wealthiest households are in Maputo and Manica. Zambezia province is the poorest where only 8 % can afford SHS[3].
The table below provides an overview of the demographics and electrification rate in the 11 Mozambican provinces (based on 2017 census data)[4]
Province | Population | Households[1] | Electrified population (%) | Monthly energy expenditure (USD) | Poverty rate (%) |
Maputo City | 1.120.869 | 224.175 | 100 | 15,9 | 11,8 |
Maputo | 1.968.889 | 393.774 | 78 | 15,9 | 11,8 |
Sofala | 2.259.248 | 451.842 | 34 | 5,4 | 49,6 |
Gaza | 1.422.458 | 284.517 | 30 | 6,3 | 43,6 |
Manica | 1.945.982 | 389.182 | 25 | 6,7 | 37,2 |
Nampula | 5.758.902 | 1.151.800 | 23 | 4,1 | 64,8 |
Cabo Delgado | 2.320.261 | 464.066 | 22 | 7,1 | 50 |
Niassa | 1.810.803 | 362.161 | 19 | 5,8 | 66,7 |
Inhambane | 1.488.685 | 297.745 | 15 | 6,6 | 34,5 |
Tete | 2.648.949 | 529.790 | 14 | 7,1 | 41,9 |
Zambezia | 5.164.726 | 1.032.961 | 10 | 4,1 | 61,8 |
The table below shows the distribution of potential SHS households across the different provinces; and challenges and opportunities for reaching these households (based on the 2019 SAEP consumer survey)*[3].
Provinces | Potential SHS market (households) | Challenges | Opportunities | Recommendations |
Nampula | 300,000 | Humanitarian crisis has spread from Cabo Delgado to some part of Nampula[5]. | Highest awareness for SHS products | Opportunity to expand SHS products in deeper areas of this province |
Highest ownership of SHS | Private sector can collaborate with humanitarian agencies to meet the energy needs of the displaced population in temporary settlements. | |||
Good perception of solar among households | ||||
Cabo Delgado | 130,000 | Humanitarian crisis | Highest ownership of SHS | Stay updated on the humanitarian crisis and how it develops.
Explore safer districts in Cabo Delgado for SHS distribution |
No service providers in the immediate vicinity of the households | Highest access to mobile money access | Increasing the number of sales agents in this province | ||
Manica | 101,000 | No service providers in the immediate vicinity of the households | Wealthiest households are in this province | Increasing the number of sales agents in this province |
Low ownerships of SHS | Willingness to pay for SHS is high | Awareness and marketing activities needed | ||
Sofala | 80,000 | Low affordability of the households | Highest awareness of SHS products | Offer lower Tier SHS that match the household’s ability to pay |
Subsidies from donor to target these regions are helpful | ||||
Tete | 78,000 | High risk of default | Offer lower Tier SHS | |
Low affordability of the households | Subsidies from donor to target these regions are helpful | |||
Low access to mobile money | Explore other informal micro financing[2] | |||
Zambezia | 76,000 | High risk of default | High income stability | Offer lower Tier SHS |
Low ownership of SHS | Subsidies from donor to target these regions are helpful | |||
Poorest households | ||||
Gaza | 38,000 | Low affordability of households | Offer lower Tier SHS | |
Subsidies from donor to target these regions are helpful | ||||
Maputo | 17,000 | Perception of solar is least positive | Highest ownership | Awareness and marketing campaign needed |
Highest access to mobile money | ||||
Inhambane | 13,000 | High risk of default | ||
Low affordability | Offer lower range of SHS and subsidies from donor programmes to target these regions are helpful | |||
Low access to mobile money | Explore other informal micro financing options |
Reference
- ↑ World Bank, “Mozambique | Data.”https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.RUR.TOTL.ZS?locations=MZ.
- ↑ Greenlight, “Mozambique – Off-Grid Energy Market Assessment.”
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 USAID, “Can Mozambican Household Afford SHS? Insights from a Local Survey.”
- ↑ USAID, “Mozambique Route-to-Market Tool.”
- ↑ UNPF, “Mozambique Fact Sheet for the Northern Province Humanitarian Crisis: Cabo Delgado - Nampula - Niass.”