Publication - The State of the Global Mini-Grids Market Report 2024

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Title
The State of the Global Mini-Grids Market Report 2024
Publisher
Mini-Grids Partnership (MGP)


Published in
September 2024
Abstract
The State of the Global Mini-Grids Market Report 2024 provides comprehensive insights on the global mini-grid market and highlights key trends in the sector. This research provides a definitive source of information to mobilize investment in the mini-grid sector and serves as a benchmark to allow decision makers to measure progress in the sector.

Key findings include:

  • The number of mini-grid installations has grown six times since 2018.

Between 2018 and 2024 there was a significant decline in the share of diesel capacity in mini-grids, plummeting from 42% to 29%. In contrast, the share of solar PV systems has seen a remarkable increase, rising from 14% to 59% during the same period.

  • There have been substantial increases in funding for the mini-grid sector over the past 15 years, with Sub-Saharan Africa being the primary recipient of funding from private investors, governments and development partners.
  • Two key financial trends are evident: a significant rise in total committed funding, exceeding USD 2.5 billion in 2023, and a sixfold increase in private investment from less than USD 100 million in 2015 to nearly USD 600 million in 2022.
  • The declining costs of mini-grid components, including PV modules, inverters, batteries, battery inverters and smart meters, have significantly enhanced the financial viability of mini-grid projects.
  • Several governments are tailoring regulatory processes for different mini-grid scales to enhance flexibility and reduce costs.
  • Cost recovery tariffs, using a cost-based formula for calculating revenue requirements, have become common in mini-grid markets, including countries like Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania and Zambia.
  • Recommendations for further increasing financial commitments and disbursements for mini-grids include: making grants easier to access; de-risking investments through regulation and contracting; and enhancing efficiency and collaboration to boost disbursement rates of committed finance.
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